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Temperature:
Based on the studies carried out by Dr. K.S.Verma & others,
Department of Environmental Studies, Dr. Yashwant Singh Parmar University of Horticulture
& Forestry, Nauni, Solan, Himachal Pradesh.
- Tmax will increase but lesser than Tmin. It will vary from 1.31oC (September) to
2.46 oC (January).
- Tmin will experience an overall increase ranging between 1.54 oC (Aug.) – 3.18oC
(Nov.).
- Tmax will remain between 0.99 oC (Nov.)-2.55 oC (June).
- Increase will be more in summer.
- Tmin. in the district will increase by 1.34oC (Aug.) to 3.24oC (Nov.).
- The climatic condition may make heat wave events “very likely” in this district
and the adjacent region.
- Increase in Tmax compared to Tmin in winter months will be of less magnitude (1.47
oC - 2.12 oC).
- However, in summer months magnitude of increase in Tmax will be more or less similar
to Tmin.
- Increase in Tmin during the year will range from 1.41oC - 2.87oC.
- The increase in winter months will be higher (2.47 oC-2.87 oC)
compared to summer months (1.41 oC - 1.94 oC).
- The increase in Tmax during winter and spring months will vary between 1.26 oC -
2.35 oC. In summer months, it may rise by 1.40 oC - 2.12 oC.
- In general Tmin in winter and spring months will rise by >2 oC compared
to summer months (1.50oC).
- Increase in Tmax will be between 1.26 oC(Aug) - 3.23 oC(March).
- An average increase of about 2.75 oC in Tmin and 2.38oC in Tmax during winters is
predicted.
- The increase in Tmin during the year will range between 1.70 oC (July) - 3.01 oC
(Nov).
- Rise in Tmax will be between 1.07 oC (Aug.) to 2.30 oC (Jan.).
- The increase in Tmin. will range from 1.51oC (June) to 3.65 oC (Nov.) which indicates
higher increase in winter temperature.
- An average increase of 2.78 oC in Tmin and 2.04 oC in Tmax during winter months
will make the production of apple and other temperate crops in Kullu valley extremely
unsustainable.
- Winter months will be warmer by 2.73 oC - 3.55 oC compared to summer when increase
in Tmin. will be between 1.54 oC - 2.06 oC.
- Overall, an average increase by 2.82 oC in Tmin and 2.24 oC in Tmax, respectively.
- Tmin in winters will increase by 2.60 oC – 3.80 oC .
- Tmax by 2.31 oC - 2.54 oC.
- Average increase in Tmin and Tmax during winter will be 2.71 oC and 2.06 oC, respectively
across its length and breadth.
- Tmin will rise by 1.60 oC (Oct) - 3.26 oC (Nov.).
- Tmax will rise by 1.17 oC (Sept) - 2.53 oC (April).
(Source: Verma, et. al., 2010)
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